Pick five contestants from twenty-one series. We will simulate a ten-episode series 10,000 times using a decade of real scoring data.
Your time starts now.
Or start with a scenario
The season featured series over the field of 10,000 (bands: 10–90%) how?
Each line is one contestant's running total in the featured series; the shaded band is where that contestant lands in 80% of the 10,000 simulations. A line riding the top of its band is a lucky season. how?
Title chances across 10,000 simulated series how?
The share of 10,000 simulated series each contestant wins outright. how?
Episode by episode points won in the featured series, gold = episode winner
Rows are contestants, columns are episodes, cells are points won; brighter is better, gold outline marks the episode winner. Totals and episode-win counts at the right. how?
Skill profiles domain percentile among all 105 how?
Each axis is a task domain; further out means a higher percentile among all 105 contestants. Shapes show specialists vs all-rounders. how?
The field strength vs volatility, all 105 contestants
Every contestant in history, placed by overall strength and how erratic their task results are. Top-right: brilliant but wild. Bottom-right: relentless. how?