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This all really happened.

The Series 14 cast
Series 14 promo image · courtesy of Taskmaster

The race actual cumulative totals – the gaps are the story

The title race, week by week what the evidence said at the time

These are the chances the numbers gave each contestant at the time – nothing from later episodes leaks in. Reconstructed after the fact with exactly the rules The Prophecy used live for Series 22 (re-run, they reproduce its posted ledger to the decimal): only tasks that had aired, and a standard episode assumed for every week still to come. Everyone starts at 20%, because five newcomers are five unknowns. And a tie on points is not a tie in chances: winning tasks outright says more about a player than steady mid-table finishes do. how?

Episode by episode points per week; the race chart's raw material

The beats detected, not written

"Statistically over" means over on what had aired – nothing more.

The splits each campaign by the numbers

The tasks how predictable was this season's material?